Depending on how you look at it, Sunday’s AAA 400 Drive For Autism (2 p.m. ET/FS1/MRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) could be a very good thing or a very bad thing for the Stewart-Haas Racing camp. The reason why, is because the Dover International Speedway has been feast or famine for them over the last few years. Normally, you would think Kevin Harvick would be the favorite at Dover right? He finished second and first respectively at the Monster Mile in 2015. Well since?
His best finish is ninth in this very race last year. Harvick, brought his No. 4 Ford home 17th last fall and 15th and 37th respectively in 2016. He hasn’t led a lap in each of the last three races there. But, prior to that, he led 24, 223, 91, 355 and 117 laps respectively in each race. Those stats have since waned.
So, will he go back to the guy that led all those laps and was battling for him at Dover, or have his struggles continue?
Kurt Busch is in the same boat. He won in 2011 at Dover, but he’s had just two total top 10 finishes since. In that same time frame, he has just one top five finish too. That came with a fifth place run in May of 2016.
So, don’t expect his No. 41 Ford to be battling for the win this weekend.
Clint Bowyer had nine top 10 finishes from 2011 to 2015. Since? 12th, 24th, 31st and sixth respectively.
Aric Almirola was fifth in both races in 2015, but 31st, 16th and 25 since.
Do any of those stats make you want to put some money on these four on Sunday? I know I wouldn’t.