If you go off of the past finishes for Jimmie Johnson at Dover, he would be the easy odds on favorite to win Sunday’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race at the Monster Mile. 10 Dover wins in 30 starts, including 15 top fives and 21 top 10 finishes there. He also has a series best 9.53 average finish at the high banked one-mile track. He has three victories and four total top three finishes in his last seven Dover starts, including 11 top fives since 2008.
But, recent stats show that maybe he won’t be a factor on Sunday.
Johnson, has had just two top fives all season, both were wins. Other than that, he has just four top 10 finishes in 12 starts in 2017. Since the end of March, he only has three total top 10’s.
That’s why the stats are showing that his No. 48 Chevrolet may not be the contender that we think he may this weekend in Dover. It’s easy to pick him to contend there, but his recent stats on the season, mixed with recent finishes at Dover of 41st, 25th and seventh respectively in his last three starts there, make it difficult to choose him to reach victory lane this weekend.
One of those stats has to win out, normally the recent trends to.